Argonaut Mean Reversion

Inspired by Atalanta, the swift huntress who catches what others overshoot. Patient until the asymmetry is clear.

Stage: Canary →

Subscribed by users on Plus, Power, and Performance. Not available on the Pro tier.

Subscribe via paper mode →Read latest Calibration Report →

The thesis

What this swarm tries to capture

Crypto markets repeatedly overshoot fair-value anchors on short timeframes. Three forces drive the dislocation:

01
Liquidation cascades on leveraged perpetual-futures markets create temporary spot dislocations.
02
Funding-rate extremes (8-hour funding above 0.1% or below −0.1%) signal pent-up pressure that eventually reverts.
03
Whale-driven flow events (single-order executions over $5M) create temporary supply-demand imbalances.

Argonaut Mean Reversion enters counter-trend positions only when multiple overextension signals align — high asymmetry, low exposure duration. Strict stop-losses; quick exits.

The mythological anchor

Atalanta was the swift huntress, faster than most men of her age but famously patient — she would not pursue until the prey overcommitted. Mean Reversion inherits the pattern: wait for overcommitment, strike with precision.

The architecture

Agent roles, intelligence, limits

Agent roles

Pattern Hunter
Detects overextension across liquidation cascades, funding-rate extremes, and whale-flow events.
Asymmetry Validator
Confirms multiple overextension signals align before any entry — high asymmetry, low exposure duration.
Risk Manager
Veto authority
Enforces per-trade stop-losses, position limits, slippage caps, and the daily loss bound.

Intelligence backbone

Mean Reversion queries STAXIS’s market-intelligence layer for funding-rate regime, liquidation-cascade context, and on-chain whale-flow signals — confirming an overshoot before it commits.

Assets

BTC, ETH, SOL spot trading. Counter-trend, short-duration positions in Phase 1. No leverage; long-only exposure on the spot leg.

Breaker parameters

A per-trade stop-loss on every position, plus the standard 2.5% / 3% daily breaker.

IMPORTANT: This is a technical risk control, NOT a guarantee of maximum loss.

Governance status

Current stage: Canary

What “canary” means

The swarm is running on real capital — small real capital, in our own funds and in early qualified-client allocations. We monitor predicted-vs-realized closely. The breaker is active. The audit log is permanent.

Promotion to LIVE stage requires

90 days minimum in canary.
Brier score within acceptable range (per governance documentation).
Realized drawdown within breaker bounds.
No correlated-failure events.

Read Calibration Report — Argonaut Mean Reversion →

How to subscribe

Paper mode is free. Real capital is non-custodial.

Subscribed by users on Plus, Power, and Performance. Not available on the Pro tier.

Paper mode
Free
Subscribe with no real capital. See decisions and outcomes in your dashboard.
Plus
$79 / mo
Mean Reversion’s minimum real-capital tier. Subscribe to up to three swarms simultaneously. Includes full Calibration Report access.
Power
$199 / mo
Subscribe to all available swarms. First-access to new swarms in canary stage. Founder office-hours access.
Performance
Qualified clients
0% management + 20% performance fee with high-water mark. For US qualified clients per Advisers Act Rule 205-3 ($2.7M+ net worth) or equivalent international profile.

The Performance tier’s 0% management + 20% performance fee with high-water mark is available only to US qualified clients per Advisers Act Rule 205-3 ($2.7M+ net worth) or an equivalent international profile. IMPORTANT: This is a technical risk control, NOT a guarantee of maximum loss.

Start paper mode →See full pricing →