Sage archetype
The discipline of publishing predictions and then publishing reality is the brand. A platform that won’t show you its predicted-vs-realized doesn’t trust its own discipline.
Why we publish these
Most platforms publish marketing. We publish calibration data — including the misses.
Three reasons we do this. Read them as the three pillars the report rests on.
Caregiver archetype
We protect users from cognitive bias. If we only published wins, you’d have a distorted view of swarm reliability. By publishing misses, you can calibrate your own expectations honestly.
Regulatory defensibility
The 2023 SEC enforcement actions on hypothetical performance advertising taught the industry that selectively presenting performance is dangerous. By publishing the full distribution — predicted and realized, hits and misses — STAXIS sits on the right side of the regulatory line.
The Calibration Report is the brand. The discipline of publishing it monthly, even when the month was bad, is what separates STAXIS from predator-style platforms that disappear after a bad quarter.
What’s in a report
Seven sections. The same anatomy every month.
Each Calibration Report carries the same structure, so a reader can compare any month to any other.
- 01
Executive summary
Stage transitions; key events; high-level calibration results.
- 02
Per-swarm detail
For each swarm:
- Stage status (paper / canary / live / degraded / retired)
- Pre-registered hypotheses for the month
- Predicted-vs-realized outcomes
- Brier score for the month + trailing 90-day
- Notable misses with diagnostic
- Breaker trigger events (if any)
- 03
Governance transitions
Any stage changes — promotion, demotion, retirement — with rationale.
- 04
Infrastructure events
Audit-log integrity check results; SOC 2 readiness status; security incidents (zero reported = zero).
- 05
Commentary
Carlos’s technical commentary on architecture observations. Carolina’s commentary on operational observations.
- 06
What we got wrong
A standing section. Even in months where most went right, we identify what we’d do differently.
- 07
Roadmap update
What’s next month; what’s been deferred.
Reports are typically 12–20 pages. PDF available for subscribers; an HTML version is readable on web. See the sample report for the structure, redacted of specific performance numbers.
Subscribe
Two ways to read every month.
Public summary
FreeMonthly email
Monthly email with the executive summary, stage transitions, and infrastructure events. No specific performance numbers; suitable for any reader.
Subscribe to public summary →Full report
Plus & abovePlus / Power / Performance / Enterprise
The complete report with predicted-vs-realized detail. Included with the Plus tier and above.
See subscription tiers →The full report mentions the 2.5% / 3% daily technical circuit breaker, which is a technical risk control, NOT a guarantee of maximum loss; market gaps, slippage, exchange outages, or technical failures may cause losses exceeding 3%. See the Risk Disclosure. Past performance is not indicative of future results.